Memphis wins by over 3.5 points

Memphis wins by over 3.5 points96%
No4%

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24h volume$6.7K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesNov 1, 20269 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 25Oct 27Oct 29Oct 30Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Memphis wins by more than 3.5 points in the Army vs Memphis college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only in settlement details: Polymarket uses NCAA.com and has explicit postpone/cancel rules; Gemini cites league/ESPN/Fox/official broadcast partner and a review process; Kalshi and Novig use their own rulebooks for off-schedule or void handling. These differences do not change the underlying question or line.
  • Army vs Memphis: spread: Memphis (-3.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Army". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Army vs Memphis: spread: Memphis (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Memphis in the entire college football game between Army and Memphis scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 7:00 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Memphis's score minus Army's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 31, 08:25 AM UTC

  • Kalshithis market

    Memphis wins by over 3.5 points

    If Memphis wins by more than 3.5 points in the Army vs Memphis college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Memphis vs Army: spread: Memphis (-3.5)

    Novig NCAAF spread market on Memphis vs Army, scheduled 2026-11-01 00:00 UTC. Sides: MEM -3.5 / ARMY +3.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Nov 1, 03:29 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Memphis wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 23.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 14.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 13.5 pointsOpen
Memphis wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi99% Memphis wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-3.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-9.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Memphis (-10.5)Kalshi99% Memphis wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Memphis (-20.5)Kalshi99% Memphis wins by over 20.5 pointsOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-6.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Memphis (-1.5)Kalshi99% Memphis wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-4.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Memphis (-9.5)Kalshi99% Memphis wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Memphis (-24.5)Kalshi99% Memphis wins by over 24.5 pointsOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Memphis (-27.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Memphis (-21.5)Kalshi99% Memphis wins by over 21.5 pointsOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Memphis (-11.5)Kalshi99% Memphis wins by over 11.5 pointsOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-7.5)Kalshi97% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-5.5)Kalshi98% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-2.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-13.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-1.5)Kalshi99% NoOpen
Army vs Memphis: Spread: spread: Army (-11.5)Kalshi95% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 12:18 PM UTC