PolymarketResolved

Game Spread: Matteo Arnaldi (-0.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+0.5)

Luciano Darderi100%
Matteo Arnaldi0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 9 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Matteo Arnaldi" if Matteo Arnaldi wins 0.5 or more total games than Luciano Darderi in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Luciano Darderi". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Matteo Arnaldi could no longer have finished 0.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Luciano Darderi". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket100% Luciano DarderiOpen
Erste Bank Open: Completed Match: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket100% YesOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Matteo Arnaldi (-1.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+1.5)Polymarket100% Luciano DarderiOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket100% Luciano DarderiOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo ArnaldiPolymarket100% Luciano DarderiOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Darderi vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Luciano Darderi vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Under 2.5Open

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As of Nov 3, 12:15 AM UTC