Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Minnesota United FC wins

Yes—
No—

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24h volume$9
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread58%
ResolvesOct 29, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 25Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Novig MLS moneyline 3 way win market on Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City, scheduled 2026-10-29 00:30 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics: Gemini cites league/TV source agencies, Kalshi gives a fair-price rule if cancelled or moved more than 48 hours, and Novig uses its rulebook/fair-market-value voiding rule. None of those differences change the underlying question of Minnesota winning in regulation time.
  • Kansas City vs Minnesota: regulation time: Minnesota wins

    If Minnesota wins the Major League Soccer match between Minnesota and Kansas City originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 28, 08:07 PM UTC

  • Minnesota vs Kansas City: Minnesota wins

    If Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Minnesota vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Novigthis market

    Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Minnesota United FC wins

    Novig MLS moneyline 3 way win market on Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City, scheduled 2026-10-29 00:30 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 28, 11:50 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Sporting KC winsNovig87% NoOpen
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: spread: Minnesota United (-1.5)Novig54% Minnesota United -1.5Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: total goals O/U 2.5Novig65% Over 2.5Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: total goals O/U 3.5Novig50% Over 3.5Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: total goals O/U 4.5Novig74% Under 4.5Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: total goals O/U 5.5Novig79% Under 5.5Open
Will Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City end in a draw?Novig84% NoOpen
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: both teams to scoreNovig—Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Minnesota United FC team total goals O/U 2.5Novig—Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: 1st half total goals O/U 1.5Novig—Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: total goals O/U 1.5Novig90% Over 1.5Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: spread: Minnesota United (-2.5)Novig76% Sporting KC +2.5Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City team total goals O/U 0.5Novig71% Over 0.5Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City team total goals O/U 1.5Novig—Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: total goals O/U 6.5Novig—Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: spread: Minnesota United (-3.5)Novig83% Sporting KC +3.5Open
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: spread: Minnesota United (+1.5)Novig87% Minnesota United +1.5Open

Venue activity

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Best bid 68% · best ask 69%

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As of Nov 1, 11:09 AM UTC