Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-16.5)

Baylor (-16.5)100%
UCF (+16.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 31, 202614 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 28, 02:24 PMOct 29, 10:45 AMOct 30, 07:06 AMOct 31, 03:28 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baylor in the entire college football game between Baylor and UCF scheduled for 2026-10-30 at 6:30 p.m. CT is above 16.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Baylor's score minus UCF's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ on resolution mechanics: Gemini cites multiple sports sources and a market review process for unresolved outcomes; Polymarket uses NCAA.com and resolves 50-50 if canceled; Kalshi uses a fair-price rule if the game is not started within 48 hours. These are non-material differences in settlement criteria for the same underlying spread.
  • Geminithis market

    Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-16.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Baylor in the entire college football game between Baylor and UCF scheduled for 2026-10-30 at 6:30 p.m. CT is above 16.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Baylor's score minus UCF's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 30, 12:48 PM UTC

  • Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-16.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baylor" if Baylor win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UCF". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Baylor vs UCF: Spread: spread: Baylor (-16.5)

    If Baylor wins by more than 16.5 points in the Baylor vs UCF college football game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-11.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-11.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-5.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+5.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-3.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+3.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-4.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+4.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-13.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+13.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-16.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+16.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-10.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+10.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-13.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-13.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-17.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-17.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-3.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-3.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-5.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-5.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-10.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-10.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-7.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-7.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-9.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-9.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-9.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+9.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-1.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-1.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-7.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+7.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-6.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+6.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-20.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+20.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: UCF (-2.5)Gemini100% Baylor (+2.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-29.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-29.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-20.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-20.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-26.5)Gemini100% Baylor (-26.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-32.5)Gemini100% UCF (+32.5)Open
Baylor vs UCF: spread: Baylor (-38.5)Gemini100% UCF (+38.5)Open

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As of Nov 1, 01:12 PM UTC