Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-4.5)

Missouri (+4.5)100%
Arkansas (-4.5)0%

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026in 11 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 30, 08:12 PMOct 31, 06:37 AMOct 31, 05:03 PMNov 1, 03:29 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Arkansas in the entire college football game between Missouri and Arkansas scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 6:45 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Arkansas's score minus Missouri's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They use different resolution sources/rules (e.g. NCAA/ESPN/Fox/broadcast on Gemini, NCAA.com on Polymarket, and Kalshi’s own postponement/fair-price rules), but all resolve on whether Arkansas covers -4.5 in the same game. Settlement times differ only by venue/time-zone formatting and are not material.
  • Geminithis market

    Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Arkansas in the entire college football game between Missouri and Arkansas scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 6:45 p.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Arkansas's score minus Missouri's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 30, 11:58 AM UTC

  • Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-4.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 7:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Missouri". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Missouri vs Arkansas: Spread: spread: Arkansas (-4.5)

    If Arkansas wins by more than 4.5 points in the Missouri vs Arkansas college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-2.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+2.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-7.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-7.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-4.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-4.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-6.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-6.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-5.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-5.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-11.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-11.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-24.5)Gemini100% Arkansas (+24.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-3.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+3.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-2.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-2.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-7.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+7.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-5.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+5.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-23.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-23.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-16.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-16.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-21.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-21.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-14.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-14.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-13.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-13.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-20.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-20.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-9.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+9.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-1.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+1.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-6.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+6.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-10.5)Gemini100% Missouri (-10.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-10.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+10.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Arkansas (-13.5)Gemini100% Missouri (+13.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-27.5)Gemini100% Arkansas (+27.5)Open
Missouri vs Arkansas: spread: Missouri (-30.5)Gemini100% Arkansas (+30.5)Open

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As of Nov 1, 12:45 PM UTC