UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Billy Elekana" if Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Fernando at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the fight be won by decision? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Billy Elekana win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 51% Over | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Lucas Fernando win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Lucas Fernando win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Lucas Fernando win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Billy Elekana win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| Will Billy Elekana win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 63% Over | Open |
| Will Lucas Fernando win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Will Billy Elekana win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 50% No | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 66% Over | Open |
| Will the fight end in a decision or draw? | Polymarket | 50% Yes | Open |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 2, 11:10 PM UTC