Will the fight be won by submission?
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mickey Gall and Zach Reese at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims) | Polymarket | 84% Zach Reese | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 55% Over | Open |
| Will Zach Reese win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 71% Yes | Open |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 54% Yes | Open |
| Will Mickey Gall win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 82% No | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 77% Under | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 60% Under | Open |
| Will Mickey Gall win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by decision? | Polymarket | 81% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 70% Yes | Open |
| Will Zach Reese win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
| Will Mickey Gall win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Mickey Gall win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will Zach Reese win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 59% No | Open |
| Will the fight end in a decision or draw? | Polymarket | 81% No | Open |
| Will Zach Reese win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Nov 1, 02:45 PM UTC