Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 73%
Price has not been independently checked yet.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Open-weight models scores above 73% on OpenRouter Open / Closed weekly token-share chart week of Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the percentage of tokens processed by open-weight models in OpenRouter’s Open / Closed chart for the week of Oct 19, 2026. The value is the updated percentage reported at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday following that week, rounded to one decimal place. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 68% | Kalshi | 89% Above 68% | Open |
| Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 76% | Kalshi | 96% No | Open |
| Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 70% | Kalshi | 98% Above 70% | Open |
| Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 75% | Kalshi | 98% No | Open |
| Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 71% | Kalshi | 87% Above 71% | Open |
| Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 74% | Kalshi | 90% No | Open |
| Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 72% | Kalshi | 87% No | Open |
| Open source token share Oct 19–25 (OpenRouter)? Above 69% | Kalshi | 97% Above 69% | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 04:46 PM UTC