PolymarketResolved

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob Fearnley

Jacob Fearnley100%
Lorenzo Sonego0%

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ResolvesNov 1, 2026yesterday

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24Oct 26Oct 28Oct 29Oct 31Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Sonego and Jacob Fearnley in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Sonego” if Lorenzo Sonego wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jacob Fearnley” if Jacob Fearnley wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob FearnleyPolymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob FearnleyPolymarket100% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Sonego vs Jacob FearnleyPolymarket100% Lorenzo SonegoOpen
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Jacob Fearnley: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% UnderOpen
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Sonego vs. Fearnley: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Sonego (+1.5)Polymarket100% Lorenzo SonegoOpen
Game Spread: Jacob Fearnley (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Sonego (+1.5)Polymarket100% Jacob FearnleyOpen

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As of Nov 2, 11:59 PM UTC