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Will Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin be larger than Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?

No52%
Darline Graham48%

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24h volume$676
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread5%
ResolvesDec 8, 2026next month

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election minus Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Graham Yes.

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As of Nov 1, 12:28 PM UTC