No 100%
Yes 1%
Price checked at Nov 10, 06:26 PM UTC
Prices have not been checked within the last hour.
24h volume —
7d volume —
30d volume —
Liquidity $3.4K
Spread 1%
Resolves Nov 29, 2026 in 18 days
Probability history Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 21, 2026.
Read the full rules If the 2026 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Source https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles from the official result with a review process if the event is cancelled or the outcome cannot be determined, while Polymarket uses the FIA final classification and specifies Other if cancelled or pushed past Nov 28, 2026. The published criteria otherwise ask the same thing.
Las Vegas Grand Prix Winner: Oliver Bearman
This market resolves to Yes if Oliver Bearman is officially declared the winner of the Formula 1 Grand Prix originally scheduled for November 21, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (FIA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a driver forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
read Nov 10, 09:22 AM UTC
this market Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 21, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 28, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Venue activity Read from the venue this minute Holders —
Held value —
Trades (24h) —
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As of Nov 10, 09:48 PM UTC
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Oliver Bearman · this market 1%
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