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KalshiResolved

Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,635 or above

7,635 or above98%
No2%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$624
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesOct 26, 20266 days ago

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24, 12:09 AMOct 24, 10:46 PMOct 25, 09:23 PMOct 26, 08:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7634.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 26, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 26, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi99% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi95% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi99% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi99% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,620 or aboveKalshi80% 7,620 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,575 or aboveKalshi99% 7,575 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi99% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi99% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi99% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi99% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7569.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,570 or aboveKalshi98% 7,570 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi99% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi99% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi99% 7,580 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi99% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi99% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7529.9999 on Oct 26, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,530 or aboveKalshi99% 7,530 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 01:25 PM UTC