Maine Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine be at least 8%? Susan Collins, ≥8%

If the margin of victory for Susan Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. For this ranked-choice election, vote percentages are those in the final round of the ranked-choice tabulation in the certified results. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Susan Collins minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Susan Collins if Susan Collins wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Susan Collins loses. If Susan Collins wins, the margin will be positive; if Susan Collins loses, the margin will be negative; if Susan Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Susan Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.