Kansas Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas be between 2% and 4%? Adam Hamilton, 2-4%

If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Adam Hamilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.