KalshiOpen

Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 16%? Amy Acton, ≥16%

No98%
Amy Acton, ≥16%2%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$26
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is at or above 16%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%? Amy Acton, 4-6%Kalshi81% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%? Amy Acton, 2-4%Kalshi82% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 2% and 4%? Vivek Ramaswamy, 2-4%Kalshi94% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%? Vivek Ramaswamy, 0-2%Kalshi89% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 0% and 2%? Amy Acton, 0-2%Kalshi86% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be at least 6%? Vivek Ramaswamy, ≥6%Kalshi96% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Vivek Ramaswamy in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 4% and 6%? Vivek Ramaswamy, 4-6%Kalshi95% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 8% and 10%? Amy Acton, 8-10%Kalshi91% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 6% and 8%? Amy Acton, 6-8%Kalshi86% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 14% and 16%? Amy Acton, 14-16%Kalshi96% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 10% and 12%? Amy Acton, 10-12%Kalshi92% NoOpen
Ohio Governor: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio be between 12% and 14%? Amy Acton, 12-14%Kalshi95% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 12:20 PM UTC