North Carolina Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be between 0% and 2%? Michael Whatley, 0-2%

If the margin of victory for Michael Whatley in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Michael Whatley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Michael Whatley if Michael Whatley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Michael Whatley loses. If Michael Whatley wins, the margin will be positive; if Michael Whatley loses, the margin will be negative; if Michael Whatley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Whatley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.