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Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 12% and 14%? Peggy Flanagan, 12-14%

No90%
Peggy Flanagan, 12-14%10%

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24h volume$2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$41
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Peggy Flanagan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Peggy Flanagan if Peggy Flanagan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Peggy Flanagan loses. If Peggy Flanagan wins, the margin will be positive; if Peggy Flanagan loses, the margin will be negative; if Peggy Flanagan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Peggy Flanagan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 2%? Michele Tafoya, ≥2%Kalshi96% NoOpen
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Michele Tafoya in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 0% and 2%? Michele Tafoya, 0-2%Kalshi95% NoOpen
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 0% and 2%? Peggy Flanagan, 0-2%Kalshi94% NoOpen
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 2% and 4%? Peggy Flanagan, 2-4%Kalshi90% NoOpen
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 8% and 10%? Peggy Flanagan, 8-10%Kalshi84% NoOpen
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 10% and 12%? Peggy Flanagan, 10-12%Kalshi86% NoOpen
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 4% and 6%? Peggy Flanagan, 4-6%Kalshi86% NoOpen
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be between 6% and 8%? Peggy Flanagan, 6-8%Kalshi82% NoOpen
Minnesota Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Peggy Flanagan in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Minnesota be at least 14%? Peggy Flanagan, ≥14%Kalshi84% NoOpen

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As of Nov 2, 10:51 PM UTC