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Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 12% and 14%? Jon Ossoff, 12-14%

No84%
Jon Ossoff, 12-14%16%

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24h volume$30
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 3, 2027next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Jon Ossoff minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jon Ossoff if Jon Ossoff wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jon Ossoff loses. If Jon Ossoff wins, the margin will be positive; if Jon Ossoff loses, the margin will be negative; if Jon Ossoff ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jon Ossoff runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 14% and 16%? Jon Ossoff, 14-16%Kalshi86% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 4% and 6%? Jon Ossoff, 4-6%Kalshi91% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 10% and 12%? Jon Ossoff, 10-12%Kalshi85% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2%? Mike Collins, ≥2%Kalshi92% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 0% and 2%? Mike Collins, 0-2%Kalshi94% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 8% and 10%? Jon Ossoff, 8-10%Kalshi84% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 6% and 8%? Jon Ossoff, 6-8%Kalshi87% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 2% and 4%? Jon Ossoff, 2-4%Kalshi96% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 20%? Jon Ossoff, ≥20%Kalshi94% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 18% and 20%? Jon Ossoff, 18-20%Kalshi95% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 16% and 18%? Jon Ossoff, 16-18%Kalshi93% NoOpen
Georgia Senate: margin of victory: Will the margin of victory for Jon Ossoff in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Georgia be between 0% and 2%? Jon Ossoff, 0-2%Kalshi97% NoOpen

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As of Nov 1, 11:21 AM UTC