Atlanta vs New York City: regulation time spread: Atlanta (-2.5)

New York City (+2.5)100%
Atlanta (-2.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 29, 20263 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 24Oct 25Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Atlanta United FC beats New York City FC by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Atlanta United FC's goals minus New York City FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles to Atlanta if they win by 3+ goals, otherwise New York City FC, using official MLS final score with fallback sources and a 50–50/cancelled-game rule. Gemini resolves Yes/No on the same Atlanta -2.5 regulation-time spread, with a different source order and its own review process for cancellations/forfeits.
  • New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC: spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)

    In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta United FC" if Atlanta United FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "New York City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • Geminithis market

    Atlanta vs New York City: regulation time spread: Atlanta (-2.5)

    If Atlanta United FC beats New York City FC by more than 2.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Atlanta United FC's goals minus New York City FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

    read Oct 28, 12:57 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Atlanta vs New York City: regulation time spread: Atlanta (-1.5)Gemini100% New York City (+1.5)Open
Atlanta vs New York City: regulation time spread: New York City (-1.5)Gemini100% Atlanta (+1.5)Open
Atlanta vs New York City: regulation time spread: New York City (-2.5)Gemini100% Atlanta (+2.5)Open

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As of Nov 1, 07:26 PM UTC