Will Roger Marshall's Kansas Senate margin be larger than Ashley Hinson's Iowa Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?
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Resolution rules
If Roger Marshall's margin in the Kansas U.S. Senate election minus Ashley Hinson's margin in the Iowa U.S. Senate election is above 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their U.S. Senate race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places. A difference of exactly 0.00 resolves Hinson Yes.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashley Hinson's Iowa Senate margin be larger than Roger Marshall's Kansas Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election? | Kalshi | 71% Ashley Hinson | Open |
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As of Nov 1, 11:27 AM UTC