KalshiOpen

Who will the House impeach first before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Pete Hegseth is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?

No50%
Pete Hegseth50%

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24h volume$77
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 8, 2028next year

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Pete Hegseth is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Impeached means the U.S. House of Representatives adopts at least one article of impeachment against the official in a floor vote. Committee votes, and resolutions that are tabled, referred or defeated, do not count. The first official is the one against whom the House first adopts an article of impeachment after Issuance. If a single vote impeaches more than one named official, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of named officials impeached by that vote. Only the six officials named in this event are compared, and no officials will be added to this event. The impeachment of an official who is not named in this event does not resolve any market, and the first named official the House impeaches afterwards is still the first official for this market. None of these resolves to Yes if, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, the House does not impeach any of the six officials named in this event. It resolves to No as soon as the House impeaches one of them after Issuance. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will the House impeach first before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Donald Trump is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi81% NoOpen
Who will the House impeach first before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that none of the officials named in this event is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028? None of theseKalshi64% NoOpen
Who will the House impeach first before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Todd Blanche is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi94% NoOpen
Who will the House impeach first before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will the House impeach first before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Howard Lutnick is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Who will the House impeach first before 2028?: Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that JD Vance is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives before Jan 1, 2028?Kalshi97% NoOpen

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As of Nov 2, 10:46 PM UTC