C.T. Pan leads at the end of Round 1

No100%
C.T. Pan1%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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24h volume$0
7d volume—
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ResolvesNov 8, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 21, 04:40 AMOct 21, 10:35 PMOct 22, 04:31 PMOct 23, 10:26 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If C.T. Pan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If multiple participants are tied for the lead at the end of the round, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on the end-of-round leader with a tied-leader payout rule; Polymarket also settles on the same Round 1 leader and splits among tied leaders. They differ only in settlement timing/source wording, which does not change the underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    C.T. Pan leads at the end of Round 1

    If C.T. Pan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If multiple participants are tied for the lead at the end of the round, “Yes” positions will pay $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied participants, and “No” positions will pay 1 minus the "Yes" payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the PGA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Butterfield Bermuda Championship End of Round 1 Leader: Cheng Tsung Pan

    This market will settle to Yes if Cheng Tsung Pan leads the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship at the end of Round 1 scheduled for October 22, 2026 (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If two or more players are tied for the lead, each leader's market will settle at $1.00 divided by the number of leaders. If the listed player forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate in the round, the market will settle to No. If the round is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from PGA Tour.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Kensei Hirata leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi96% NoOpen
Seamus Power leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship End of Round 1 Leader: Benjamin James leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Robert Streb leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Chandler Blanchet leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi99% Chandler BlanchetOpen
Ben Kohles leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Corey Conners leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi99% NoOpen
Adam Schenk leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Danny Walker leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi75% NoOpen
Davis Chatfield leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship End of Round 1 Leader: Jonathan Byrd leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi93% NoOpen
Ben Silverman leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi99% NoOpen
Chris Kirk leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Davis Riley leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi93% NoOpen
Butterfield Bermuda Championship End of Round 1 Leader: Brice Garnett leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi99% NoOpen
Willie Mack III leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Emiliano Grillo leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi93% NoOpen
Andrew Novak leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi94% NoOpen
Ren Yonezawa leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi96% NoOpen
Taylor Montgomery leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi100% NoOpen
Nick Dunlap leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi98% NoOpen
Hayden Springer leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi97% NoOpen
Taylor Pendrith leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi99% NoOpen
David Skinns leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi99% NoOpen
Taylor Moore leads at the end of Round 1Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Nov 3, 01:09 AM UTC