Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5)

North Carolina97%
Miami (FL)3%

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24h volume$577
7d volume$7.6K
30d volume$7.6K
Liquidity$229.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 31, 202612 hours ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Sourcehttps://www.ncaa.com/

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues use different settlement language and fallback rules for postponement/cancellation or undetermined outcomes, but those differences do not change the underlying spread question. Kalshi and Gemini phrase the same >14.5 cover threshold; Polymarket phrases it as Miami winning by 15+ points.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 31 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Carolina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Miami vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (-14.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Miami (FL) in the entire college football game between Miami and North Carolina scheduled for 2026-10-31 at 6:30 p.m. CT is above 14.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Miami (FL)'s score minus North Carolina's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 31, 02:42 AM UTC

  • Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: Spread: spread: Miami (FL) (-14.5)

    If Miami (FL) wins by more than 14.5 points in the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: total O/U 53.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)Polymarket97% North CarolinaOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: total O/U 51.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: Miami (FL) winsPolymarket74% Miami (FL)Open
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-12.5)Polymarket95% North CarolinaOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-11.5)Polymarket91% North CarolinaOpen
1H Spread: Miami (FL) (-6.5)Polymarket55% North CarolinaOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-9.5)Polymarket66% North CarolinaOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-15.5)Polymarket51% Miami (FL)Open
North Carolina 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: 2nd half total O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina: 4Q O/U 10.5Polymarket66% OverOpen
Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina: Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2Polymarket50% NoOpen
Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina: Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4Polymarket50% YesOpen
Miami (FL) vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: spread: Miami (FL) (-21.5)Polymarket99% North CarolinaOpen
4Q Spread: Miami (FL) (-5.5)Polymarket50% Miami (FL)Open
Miami (FL) Total Touchdowns: O/U 4.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Miami (FL) vs North Carolina: 1st half: Miami (FL) winsPolymarket50% North CarolinaOpen

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As of Nov 1, 11:08 AM UTC