PolymarketOpen

Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

No63%
Yes38%

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24h volume$934
7d volume$1.5K
30d volume$1.6K
Liquidity$282
Spread16%
ResolvesMar 1, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket87% NoOpen
Will Amir Ohana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket90% NoOpen
Will Oded Forer be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket82% NoOpen
Will Yuli Edelstein be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket98% NoOpen
Will Hili Tropper be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will Yariv Levin be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket78% NoOpen
Will Eitan Ginzburg be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket93% NoOpen
Will Eli Cohen be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket84% NoOpen
Will Elazar Stern be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket76% NoOpen
Will Mickey Levy be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will David Amsalem be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket80% NoOpen
Will Miki Zohar be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket81% NoOpen
Will no Speaker of the Knesset be elected by February 28?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Matan Kahana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Orna Barbivai be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket72% NoOpen
Will Ofir Katz be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket94% NoOpen
Will Avi Dichter be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket79% NoOpen
Will Ahmad Tibi be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket74% NoOpen
Will Merav Ben Ari be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Polymarket96% NoOpen

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As of Nov 3, 01:06 AM UTC