Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by December 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual serving as, appointed as, or deemed to be acting or temporary Speaker will not trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. Only the successful election of the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset will result in this market's resolving to "Yes". This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a Speaker of the 26th Knesset is successfully elected. Otherwise, this market may not resolve until its expiration time passes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset and the Government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 30? | Polymarket | 63% Yes | Open |
| Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13? | Polymarket | 72% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 01:41 PM UTC