KalshiOpen

SMU wins by over 21.5 points

No58%
SMU wins by over 21.5 points42%

Price checked at

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24h volume$347
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 24, 2026in 17 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 18Oct 20Oct 21Oct 22Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If SMU wins by more than 21.5 points in the California vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
SMU wins by over 17.5 pointsKalshi54% SMU wins by over 17.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 20.5 pointsKalshi54% NoOpen
SMU wins by over 14.5 pointsKalshi61% SMU wins by over 14.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 13.5 pointsKalshi65% SMU wins by over 13.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 23.5 pointsKalshi61% NoOpen
SMU wins by over 7.5 pointsKalshi76% SMU wins by over 7.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 6.5 pointsKalshi80% SMU wins by over 6.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 16.5 pointsKalshi58% SMU wins by over 16.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 30.5 pointsKalshi76% NoOpen
SMU wins by over 9.5 pointsKalshi73% SMU wins by over 9.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 10.5 pointsKalshi67% SMU wins by over 10.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 38.5 pointsKalshi90% NoOpen
SMU wins by over 24.5 pointsKalshi65% NoOpen
California wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
SMU wins by over 4.5 pointsKalshi84% SMU wins by over 4.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 5.5 pointsKalshi83% SMU wins by over 5.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi87% SMU wins by over 3.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 35.5 pointsKalshi87% NoOpen
SMU wins by over 33.5 pointsKalshi81% NoOpen
SMU wins by over 27.5 pointsKalshi71% NoOpen
SMU wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi90% SMU wins by over 2.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 1.5 pointsKalshi91% SMU wins by over 1.5 pointsOpen
SMU wins by over 11.5 pointsKalshi68% SMU wins by over 11.5 pointsOpen
California wins by over 3.5 pointsKalshi94% NoOpen
California wins by over 2.5 pointsKalshi92% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
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As of Oct 24, 02:13 AM UTC