Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Julian Erosa and JeongYeong Lee at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims) | Polymarket | 58% JeongYeong Lee | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 70% Under | Open |
| Will the fight be won by decision? | Polymarket | 78% No | Open |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 77% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 52% Yes | Open |
| Will JeongYeong Lee win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Julian Erosa win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 89% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Polymarket | 73% No | Open |
| Will Julian Erosa win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will JeongYeong Lee win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 59% No | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 78% Over | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 64% Yes | Open |
| Will Julian Erosa win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 84% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 60% No | Open |
| Will JeongYeong Lee win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will Julian Erosa win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will JeongYeong Lee win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 76% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Nov 1, 11:58 AM UTC