Will Luana Santos win in Round 1?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luana Santos defeats Yana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) | Polymarket | 75% Luana Santos | Open |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Polymarket | 70% Yes | Open |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 74% Over | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 2? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will the fight end before Round 3? | Polymarket | 76% No | Open |
| Will Luana Santos win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 95% No | Open |
| Will the fight end in a decision or draw? | Polymarket | 71% Yes | Open |
| Will Yana Santos win in Round 1? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 84% Over | Open |
| Will Luana Santos win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 93% No | Open |
| Will Luana Santos win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 94% No | Open |
| Will Yana Santos win in Round 3? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| Will Yana Santos win in Round 2? | Polymarket | 97% No | Open |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | Polymarket | 93% Over | Open |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 91% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by submission? | Polymarket | 80% No | Open |
| Will the fight be won by decision? | Polymarket | 71% Yes | Open |
| Will Yana Santos win by KO or TKO? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 03:09 PM UTC