Will the fight end before Round 4?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Renato Moicano and Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, officially ends before Round 4 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 3 and Round 4 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events
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As of Nov 1, 03:40 PM UTC