KalshiOpen

Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 17% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?

No58%
At least 17%42%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread10%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Stylo Sapaskis in the 2026 NY-15 House election is 17% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Stylo Sapaskis ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. Votes for Stylo Sapaskis across all certified ballot lines are combined.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 8% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi96% At least 8%Open
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 22% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi94% NoOpen
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 20% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi91% NoOpen
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 12% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi85% At least 12%Open
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 18% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi72% NoOpen
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 16% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi61% At least 16%Open
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 14% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi82% At least 14%Open
NY-15 House election: Stylo Sapaskis vote percent: Will Stylo Sapaskis receive at least 10% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-15 House election?Kalshi93% At least 10%Open

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As of Nov 1, 11:56 AM UTC