Polymarket USOpen

2026 Senate Combo: AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX: Independent or third party wins any race

Yes—
No—

Price checked at

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24h volume$654
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ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 5 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if neither a Republican Party candidate nor a Democratic Party candidate wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from at least one of Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities.

Read the full rules

The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

A Republican Party candidate means the Republican Party nominee or, in Alaska, a representative of the Republican Party. A Democratic Party candidate means the Democratic Party nominee or, in Alaska, a representative of the Democratic Party.

Note: This market settles based on the outcomes of the constituent listed Polymarket US Contracts, namely the "Alaska Senate Election Winner", "Iowa Senate Election Winner", "Kansas Senate Election Winner", "Maine Senate Election Winner", "Michigan Senate Election Winner", "Ohio Senate Election Winner" & "Texas Senate Election Winner" Contracts. This market settles to Yes if, for any of these states, neither the Democratic Party nor the Republican Party Contract settles to Yes.

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As of Nov 10, 09:07 PM UTC