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Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?

No83%
Yes17%

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24h volume$718
7d volume$1.2K
30d volume$1.5K
Liquidity$409
Spread36%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 6 hours

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections in Serbia are scheduled to be held on October 25, 2026. The first round of the Bulgarian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches both of the following: the first Prime Minister of Serbia to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the winner of the Bulgarian presidential election. For full rules for the Serbian Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642 For full rules for the Bulgarian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the two markets linked above.

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As of Nov 2, 10:47 PM UTC