KalshiResolved

Bangsamoro Chief Minister election winner?: Will Murad Ebrahim win the 2026 Bangsamoro Chief Minister election?

No96%
Murad Ebrahim4%

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24h volume$373
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ResolvesNov 30, 2026in 29 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Murad Ebrahim wins the 2026 Bangsamoro Chief Minister election, then the market resolves to Yes. The Chief Minister is chosen indirectly by a majority vote of all members of the Bangsamoro Parliament. If no one wins a majority in the first round, the person elected in a runoff between the top two is the winner. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

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As of Nov 1, 03:32 PM UTC