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Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?

No92%

Yes9%

Price checked at Nov 2, 11:13 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$11.3K

Spread1%

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ed Davey ceases to be Leader of the Liberal Democrats for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ed Davey's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ed Davey and the Liberal Democrats; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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As of Nov 2, 11:17 PM UTC