Atlético San Luis vs Toluca: regulation time: Deportivo Toluca FC wins

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Toluca wins the Liga MX match between Toluca and Atlético San Luis scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi explicitly exclude extra time and penalties; Kalshi also notes a separate tie market and special cancellation/rescheduling handling. Novig frames it as a moneyline market and says voids settle at fair market value, but these are not material differences in the underlying question.
  • Geminithis market

    Atlético San Luis vs Toluca: regulation time: Deportivo Toluca FC wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Toluca wins the Liga MX match between Toluca and Atlético San Luis scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 17, 02:51 AM UTC

  • Toluca wins

    If Toluca wins the Toluca vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Toluca vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 16, 04:49 PM UTC

  • Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlético de San Luis: Toluca wins

    Novig Liga MX moneyline 3 way win market on Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlético de San Luis, scheduled 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 18, 12:31 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Atlético San Luis vs Toluca: regulation time: Atletico San Luis winsGemini100% NoOpen
regulation time: Will Atlético San Luis vs Toluca end in a draw?Gemini100% YesOpen

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As of Oct 24, 11:56 PM UTC