Atlético San Luis vs Toluca: regulation time: Atletico San Luis wins

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 12Oct 13Oct 15Oct 16Oct 18

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Atlético San Luis wins the Liga MX match between Atlético San Luis and Toluca scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles using its listed source hierarchy and may invoke a review process if the result cannot be determined, while Polymarket uses official stats with backup sources and a defined no-cancelled-game rule. These are material settlement differences only, not a different question.
  • Geminithis market

    Atlético San Luis vs Toluca: regulation time: Atletico San Luis wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Atlético San Luis wins the Liga MX match between Atlético San Luis and Toluca scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 17, 03:20 AM UTC

  • Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-10-17?

    In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 17, 2026 If Atlético San Luis wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Atlético San Luis vs Toluca: regulation time: Deportivo Toluca FC winsGemini100% NoOpen
regulation time: Will Atlético San Luis vs Toluca end in a draw?Gemini100% YesOpen

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As of Oct 25, 05:46 AM UTC