Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlético de San Luis: Toluca wins

Yes76%
No24%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

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24h volume$13
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread7%
ResolvesOct 18, 20267 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 14Oct 15Oct 16Oct 17Oct 18Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Novig Liga MX moneyline 3 way win market on Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlético de San Luis, scheduled 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini and Kalshi explicitly exclude extra time and penalties; Kalshi also notes a separate tie market and special cancellation/rescheduling handling. Novig frames it as a moneyline market and says voids settle at fair market value, but these are not material differences in the underlying question.
  • Atlético San Luis vs Toluca: regulation time: Deportivo Toluca FC wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Toluca wins the Liga MX match between Toluca and Atlético San Luis scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the Liga MX governing body, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Soccer_Match_Terms_and_Conditions_d44ee81f-1008-4300-b572-0982b2d9c57f.pdf)

    read Oct 17, 02:51 AM UTC

  • Toluca wins

    If Toluca wins the Toluca vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Toluca vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 16, 04:49 PM UTC

  • Novigthis market

    Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlético de San Luis: Toluca wins

    Novig Liga MX moneyline 3 way win market on Deportivo Toluca FC vs Atlético de San Luis, scheduled 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC. Sides: Yes / No. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.

    read Oct 18, 12:31 AM UTC

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Best bid 74% · best ask 76%

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As of Oct 24, 04:05 PM UTC