United States Grand Prix Winner: Valtteri Bottas

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Yes—

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ResolvesOct 27, 2026in 2 days

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Valtteri Bottas is officially declared the winner of the Formula 1 Grand Prix originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (FIA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a driver forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles on the official winner of the specified race originally scheduled for Oct. 25, 2026, with a later expiration date and review-process fallback for unresolved/cancelled cases. Polymarket uses the FIA final classification and treats cancellation or a reschedule past Nov. 1, 2026 as Other; these criteria differ only in settlement details, not the underlying question.
  • Geminithis market

    United States Grand Prix Winner: Valtteri Bottas

    This market resolves to Yes if Valtteri Bottas is officially declared the winner of the Formula 1 Grand Prix originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (FIA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a driver forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 22, 12:59 PM UTC

  • Will Valtteri Bottas win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

    This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
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United States Grand Prix Winner: Lewis HamiltonGemini—Open
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United States Grand Prix Winner: Lando NorrisGemini—Open
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United States Grand Prix Winner: Lance StrollGemini—Open
United States Grand Prix Winner: Max VerstappenGemini57% NoOpen
United States Grand Prix Winner: George RussellGemini—Open
United States Grand Prix Winner: Carlos Sainz Jr.Gemini—Open

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As of Oct 24, 11:54 PM UTC