KalshiOpen

Who will win the New York Assembly? Republican party

No99%
Republican party1%

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24h volume$3.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.2K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Republican party wins the New York Assembly in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the New York Assembly is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who will win the New York Assembly? Democratic partyKalshi99% Democratic partyOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
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As of Nov 1, 12:40 PM UTC