KalshiOpen
Oct 2026 temperature increase? 1.17 to 1.23
No95%
1.17 to 1.235%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 17, 2026in 16 days
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Oct 2026 is between 1.17-1.23, then the market resolves to Yes.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 temperature increase? 1.24 to 1.30 | Kalshi | 92% No | Open |
| Oct 2026 temperature increase? 1.30001 or above | Kalshi | 94% 1.30001 or above | Open |
| Oct 2026 temperature increase? 1.02999 or below | Kalshi | 99% No | Open |
| Oct 2026 temperature increase? 1.03 to 1.09 | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
| Oct 2026 temperature increase? 1.10 to 1.16 | Kalshi | 97% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 06:28 PM UTC