GeminiResolvedvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Seattle vs New England: regulation time spread: New England (-1.5)

Seattle (+1.5)100%
New England (-1.5)0%

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ResolvesOct 11, 202622 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 9, 02:48 PMOct 10, 02:34 AMOct 10, 02:20 PMOct 11, 02:06 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If New England Revolution beats Seattle Sounders FC by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New England Revolution's goals minus Seattle Sounders FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves to "New England Revolution" if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise "Seattle Sounders FC." Gemini resolves to Yes if the score differential exceeds 1.5 goals, otherwise No. Resolution sources differ slightly (mlssoccer.com primary for Polymarket; league/ESPN/Fox for Gemini), but both specify regulation time only and use official governing body data. Polymarket's resolvesAt is 2026-10-10T23:30:00Z while Gemini's is 2026-10-11T23:30:00Z, a one-hour difference likely reflecting timezone interpretation, but both target the same game conclusion window.
  • New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC: spread: New England Revolution (-1.5)

    In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New England Revolution" if New England Revolution win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Seattle Sounders FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

  • Geminithis market

    Seattle vs New England: regulation time spread: New England (-1.5)

    If New England Revolution beats Seattle Sounders FC by more than 1.5 goals in the Major League Soccer scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New England Revolution's goals minus Seattle Sounders FC's goals) of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Score_Differential_Terms_and_Conditions_4804aecd-e4af-49cf-af57-0c1ba4d4f94d.pdf).

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Seattle vs New England: regulation time spread: Seattle (-1.5)Gemini100% Seattle (-1.5)Open
Seattle vs New England: regulation time spread: New England (-2.5)Gemini100% Seattle (+2.5)Open
Seattle vs New England: regulation time spread: Seattle (-2.5)Gemini100% Seattle (-2.5)Open

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As of Nov 2, 10:46 PM UTC