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Will Patty Garcia receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?

No51%
At least 60%49%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread9%
ResolvesJan 3, 2027in 2 months

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Patty Garcia in the 2026 IL-04 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Patty Garcia ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent: Will Patty Garcia receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent: Will Patty Garcia receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent: Will Patty Garcia receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi95% NoOpen
IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent: Will Patty Garcia receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
IL-04 House election: Patty Garcia vote percent: Will Patty Garcia receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi78% NoOpen
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi67% NoOpen
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi85% At least 56%Open
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi76% At least 58%Open
Will Patty Garcia receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IL-04 House election?Kalshi95% At least 54%Open

Venue activity

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As of Nov 1, 06:45 PM UTC