Will the US lose between 0 and 25k jobs in October?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October? | Polymarket | 68% No | Open |
| Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in October? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in October? | Polymarket | 92% No | Open |
| Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October? | Polymarket | 88% No | Open |
| Will the US lose more than 25k jobs in October? | Polymarket | 96% No | Open |
| Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in October? | Polymarket | 87% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Nov 1, 11:09 AM UTC