Polymarket USOpen

Washington Transgender School Sports Restriction Referendum: Passes?

Yes58%
No43%

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24h volume$252
7d volume—
30d volume—
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Spread15%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 9Oct 17Oct 24Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Washington Initiative IL26-638, also referred to as "Sex Verification Requirements for Female School Sports" is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Washington required for it to pass at the 2026 statewide general election. Outcome sourced from the government of Washington.

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As of Nov 1, 11:46 AM UTC