Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — California

No99%
Yes2%

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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 20, 2027in 4 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:24 AMOct 2, 11:56 PMOct 3, 03:27 PMOct 4, 06:59 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If California wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the official governing organization, ESPN, Fox Sports, and information originating from the NCAA. Gemini is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This event is mutually exclusive. [View the full terms](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Both use the result of California winning the Championship Game as the determining fact; Gemini references several potential verification sources, while Kalshi publishes no additional source criteria. The stated settlement times differ (January 20 versus January 26, 2027), but this is a settlement-timing difference rather than a different event.
  • Geminithis market

    Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — California

    If California wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the official governing organization, ESPN, Fox Sports, and information originating from the NCAA. Gemini is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This event is mutually exclusive. [View the full terms](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

    read Oct 3, 07:08 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    College Football National Championship Winner: Will California win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

    If California wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 3, 11:11 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — AuburnGemini—Open
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — Texas A&MGemini89% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — Miami (FL)Gemini90% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — TexasGemini85% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — IndianaGemini88% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — OregonGemini93% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — FloridaGemini94% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — Ole MissGemini92% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — USCGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — Kansas St.Gemini96% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — ArkansasGemini97% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — South CarolinaGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — SMUGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — Virginia TechGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — MichiganGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — Arizona St.Gemini98% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — HoustonGemini98% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — ClemsonGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — North Carolina St.Gemini98% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — KentuckyGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — TCUGemini98% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — VanderbiltGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — WashingtonGemini98% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — OklahomaGemini99% NoOpen
Which team will win the College Football Playoff National Championship? — James MadisonGemini99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 4, 07:05 AM UTC