Who will win the 2026 MLS Cup? — Houston Dynamo FC

No97%
Yes4%

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Spread3%
ResolvesDec 19, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:24 AMOct 2, 10:38 AMOct 2, 12:52 PMOct 2, 03:07 PM

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Houston Dynamo FC wins the 2026 MLS Cup, this market will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source will be Major League Soccer's official announcement and match records. If necessary, the Exchange may also rely on official club announcements or reporting from ESPN, FOX Sports, The Associated Press, or Reuters. If Houston Dynamo FC is eliminated from contention or does not win the 2026 MLS Cup, this market will resolve to No. This event is mutually exclusive. Gemini is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Major League Soccer or any participating club. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket specifies a January 1, 2027 resolution time and an “Other” outcome in certain cancellation or no-winner cases; Myriad and Gemini use different resolution and cancellation procedures. These are settlement-rule differences rather than differences in the event being measured.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

    This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    62 holders · 13 comments · read Oct 1, 02:50 AM UTC

  • MyriadOpen →

    Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

    ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period**: From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Deadline:** The resolution will be determined after the final games of the tournament are completed. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to “**Yes**” for the winning team of the 2026 MLS Cup. - Resolves to “**No**” for all other teams. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will only be resolved through official results posted from the event organizer. - In case the resolution source fails to upload, a consensus of credible reporting can be used to resolve. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. - The 2026 MLS Cup is cancelled or postponed outside of the Market Period. In the event of cancellation, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

    read Oct 2, 02:43 PM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Who will win the 2026 MLS Cup? — Houston Dynamo FC

    If Houston Dynamo FC wins the 2026 MLS Cup, this market will resolve to Yes. The primary resolution source will be Major League Soccer's official announcement and match records. If necessary, the Exchange may also rely on official club announcements or reporting from ESPN, FOX Sports, The Associated Press, or Reuters. If Houston Dynamo FC is eliminated from contention or does not win the 2026 MLS Cup, this market will resolve to No. This event is mutually exclusive. Gemini is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Major League Soccer or any participating club. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F5a2a66b71c4941c684c9a1c09e8258fe?alt=media&token=7ad0db16-1957-4c2e-aefa-ee895a07d5a1&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

    read Oct 2, 02:54 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

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As of Oct 2, 03:08 PM UTC