Polymarket USOpen

IN-04 House Election Winner: Drew Cox (D)

No99%
Yes2%

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24h volume$3
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$100
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 9Oct 17Oct 24Nov 1Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for the IN-04 congressional district seat. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Decision Desk HQ. Any references to Decision Desk HQ or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Decision Desk HQ and Polymarket US.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
IN-04 House Election Winner: Jim Baird (R)PolymarketUs99% YesOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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As of Nov 1, 01:13 PM UTC