Heisman Trophy Winner: Arch Manning

No98%
Yes3%

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Spread1%
ResolvesDec 28, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:20 AMOct 2, 12:34 PMOct 2, 04:47 PMOct 2, 09:01 PM

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Arch Manning wins the 2026 Heisman Trophy awarded on December 13, 2026. Outcome sourced from Heisman Trophy Trust.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ in settlement timing and contingency rules: Kalshi settles by January 1, 2027, while Polymarket references the December ceremony and PolymarketUs specifies December 13, 2026. Polymarket also specifies official-source, postponement, cancellation, and co-winner rules; these are resolution differences rather than different questions.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Arch Manning win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Heisman Trophy, awarded to the most outstanding player in college football, with the winner announced at the Heisman ceremony currently scheduled for December 12, 2026. If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    18 holders · 0 comments · read Oct 1, 09:15 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    Heisman Trophy Winner: Who will win Heisman Trophy? Arch Manning

    If Arch Manning wins the College Football Heisman Trophy in the 2026-2027 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 1, 07:08 PM UTC

  • PolymarketUsthis market

    Heisman Trophy Winner: Arch Manning

    This market will settle to Yes if Arch Manning wins the 2026 Heisman Trophy awarded on December 13, 2026. Outcome sourced from Heisman Trophy Trust.

    read Oct 2, 07:44 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Jadan BaughPolymarketUs90% NoOpen
Kamario TaylorPolymarketUs81% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Darian MensahPolymarketUs85% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah SmithPolymarketUs71% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Gunner StocktonPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Trinidad ChamblissPolymarketUs91% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Drew MestemakerPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ CarrPolymarketUs95% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Keelon RussellPolymarketUs91% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Ahmad HardyPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Aaron PhiloPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Malachi ToneyPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Austin MackPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Julian SayinPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
Heisman Trophy Winner: Bryce UnderwoodPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Byrum BrownPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Bear BachmeierPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Avery JohnsonPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Bo JacksonPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Conner WeigmanPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: DJ LagwayPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Demond Williams Jr.PolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Dante MoorePolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: Jayden MaiavaPolymarketUs—Open
Heisman Trophy Winner: John MateerPolymarketUs—Open

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As of Oct 2, 09:03 PM UTC