Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Renan Santos
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve on whether Renan Santos wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election scheduled to begin on October 4, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP). This market will resolve to YES if AP reports Renan Santos as the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it- Geminithis market
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Renan Santos
This market will resolve on whether Renan Santos wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election scheduled to begin on October 4, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP). This market will resolve to YES if AP reports Renan Santos as the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
read Oct 2, 06:47 PM UTC
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Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
2.5K holders · 21.8K comments · read Oct 2, 10:21 AM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Fernando Haddad | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Flávio Bolsonaro | Gemini | 58% Yes | Open |
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Ratinho Júnior | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | Gemini | 58% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Tarcísio de Freitas | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 37 minutes agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 2, 07:24 PM UTC