Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Fernando Haddad
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve on whether Fernando Haddad wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election scheduled to begin on October 4, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press (AP). This market will resolve to YES if AP reports Fernando Haddad as the winner of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to NO. This event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Renan Santos | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Flávio Bolsonaro | Gemini | 58% Yes | Open |
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Ratinho Júnior | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | Gemini | 58% No | Open |
| Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Tarcísio de Freitas | Gemini | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 07:24 PM UTC